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2024-12-14 10:29:16

This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been paying attention to me know that I am pessimistic.When the hesitant funds and investors exclaimed that the cow was coming, the big funds were lured to 3800, and then fell back to 3500 in January next year.First of all, the word "positive" in previous years was changed to "more positive", which was last put forward in 2020. Secondly, the "steady" in previous years was changed to "moderately loose", which is a major change in caliber.


How to judge whether it is less than expected? Very simply, if the high-end large-cap stocks such as banks, oil and coal rise, it will be bad. If the large-cap stocks rise and the index rises (the 28 th division), but the small and medium-cap stocks do not rise, it will also be bad. This is the big money to pull the large-cap stocks up to cover the departure. or vice versa, Dallas to the auditoriumWhen the hesitant funds and investors exclaimed that the cow was coming, the big funds were lured to 3800, and then fell back to 3500 in January next year.In my opinion, if the news in the next 11-12 days is not as good as expected (in fact, it is enough), it will falsely pull down the index, then generally fall, fall to around 3330, and then draw 3350, and at the end of the month, it will reach around 3230 on the May line;


On the contrary, if it is good, once it breaks through the resistance range of 3440-3490, large funds will rush to escape as at the end of September and quickly attack 3500-3700.First of all, the word "positive" in previous years was changed to "more positive", which was last put forward in 2020. Secondly, the "steady" in previous years was changed to "moderately loose", which is a major change in caliber.What do you think of the so-called bull market of A shares in the future?

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